By DTN Staff
This article was originally published at 11:08 a.m. CST on Tuesday, Dec. 9. It was last updated with additional information at 11:19 a.m. CST on Tuesday, Dec. 9.
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OMAHA (DTN) -- USDA increased corn exports, which dropped ending stocks, while making no changes to supply and demand in the soybean crop in its World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report on Tuesday.
USDA increased corn exports to 3.2 billion bushels (bb), a record for corn exports, which led to lowering corn ending stocks to 2.029 bb, which was below the pre-report estimates.
USDA released its December Crop Production and WASDE reports on Tuesday.
Tuesday's U.S. ending stocks estimates were slightly bullish for corn, neutral for soybeans and neutral for wheat, according to DTN Lead Analyst Rhett Montgomery. World ending stocks estimates from USDA were slightly bullish for corn, neutral for soybeans and slightly bearish for wheat, he said.
Stay tuned throughout the morning and refresh this page often. We will be sending a series of updates with the important highlights from Tuesday's reports, including commentary from our analysts.
You can also view the full reports here:
-- Crop Production: https://www.nass.usda.gov/…
-- World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE): http://www.usda.gov/…
CORN
The only change in the domestic corn numbers came from higher export demand. USDA bumped up exports 125 million bushels (mb) to 3.2 bb.
That brought down ending stocks for the 2025-26 crop to 2.029 bb, down 125 mb from last month.
USDA held pat on production for the corn crop at 16.752 billion bushels.
USDA held corn yield at 186 bushels per acre (bpa) with harvested acres remaining at 90 million acres.
On the demand side, total feed and residual use is projected at 6.1 bb.
Ethanol use is pegged at 5.6 bb.
Total domestic use is forecast at 13.08 bb.
The farm gate price for corn remained at $4 a bushel.
Globally, USDA did make some adjustments. Corn beginning stocks for the 2025-26 corn crop at 293.37 million metric tons (mmt), up 1.71 mmt from November. Global production was lowered 3.27 mmt to 1,282.96 mmt. Exports globally were raised 1.63 mmt to 205.1 mmt. That puts projected global ending stocks at 279.15 mmt, down 2.19 mmt from November. USDA lowered Ukraine's production 3 mmt to 29 mmt and dropped Ukraine's exports 1.5 mmt to 23 mmt.
SOYBEANS
USDA estimates domestic soybean exports at 1.635 bb, unchanged from November.
Ending stocks for 2025-2026 are forecast at 290 mb. The national average farm gate price was estimated at $10.50 per bushel, unchanged from last month.
Total U.S. production is estimated at 4.253 bb, unchanged from November, while the yield forecast, at 53.0 bushels per acre in December, is unchanged from last month.
Globally, USDA pegged world soybean stocks at 122.37 mmt, an increase from 121.99 mmt in November.
Brazilian soybean production was pegged at 175.0 mmt, unchanged from last month. Brazil's exports also were unchanged at an estimated 112.5 mmt.
Production in Argentina was estimated at 48.5 mmt, unchanged from November, while exports were estimated at 8.25 mmt, unchanged from last month.
WHEAT
USDA estimates U.S. wheat ending stocks at 901 mb, unchanged from November.
U.S. wheat use is unchanged from last month at 2.054 bb.
Wheat exports were estimated at 900 mb, also unchanged from last month. USDA estimates the farm gate price of wheat at $5.00.
Wheat world ending stocks were estimated at 274.87 mmt, an increase from 271.43 mmt in November.
USDA increased global wheat production to 837.81 mmt in December, compared to 828.89 mmt in November.
USDA estimates wheat production in Argentina at 24.0 mmt, increased from 22 mmt in November. Wheat production in Australia was estimated at 37.0 mmt, a bump up from 36 mmt last month. Brazil's production is estimated at 7.7 mmt, which is unchanged from November. Production in Canada was estimated at 39.96 mmt, an increase from 37 mmt last month.
USDA estimates wheat production in Russia at 87.5 mmt and Ukraine wheat production at 23.0 mmt.
Wheat exports from Russia were estimated at 44.0 mmt, while USDA pegs Ukraine exports at 14.5 mmt, a slight decline from 15 mmt last month.
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Join us for DTN's post-report webinar at 12:30 p.m. CST on Tuesday, Dec. 9, as we discuss USDA's new estimates considering recent market events. Questions are welcome, and registrants will receive a replay link for viewing at their convenience. Register here for Tuesday's December WASDE report webinar: https://www.dtn.com/….
| U.S. ENDING STOCKS (Million Bushels) 2025-26 |
| |
Nov |
Avg |
High |
Low |
Nov |
|
| Corn |
2,029 |
2,166 |
2,376 |
2,037 |
2,154 |
|
| Soybeans |
290 |
309 |
385 |
250 |
290 |
|
| Wheat |
901 |
893 |
906 |
846 |
901 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| WORLD ENDING STOCKS (million metric tons) 2024-25 |
|
|
| |
Nov |
Avg |
High |
Low |
Nov |
|
| Corn |
293.4 |
290.6 |
292.0 |
284.0 |
291.7 |
|
| Soybeans |
123.2 |
123.4 |
124.0 |
123.0 |
123.3 |
|
| Wheat |
260.0 |
261.6 |
262.4 |
261.0 |
261.4 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| WORLD ENDING STOCKS (million metric tons) 2025-26 |
|
|
| |
Nov |
Avg |
High |
Low |
Nov |
|
| Corn |
279.2 |
281.3 |
283.0 |
279.0 |
281.3 |
|
| Soybeans |
122.4 |
122.8 |
125.0 |
121.6 |
122.0 |
|
| Wheat |
274.9 |
272.6 |
275.0 |
270.9 |
271.4 |
|
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